基于WSR的区域排水权分配影响因素研究

为了进一步减少防洪损失、解决区域排水纠纷问题,在界定排水权内涵的基础上,研究得出排水权具有强制性、排他性、可交易性、可变性和紧迫性。利用WSR系统方法论构建了排水权分配的WSR分析框架,认为排水权的分配受物理因素、事理因素和人理因素的影响,并分析了多种因素在分配过程中的角色,进一步构建了排水权分配影响因素的指标体系。研究有利于实现排水权有效配置驱动因素的系统化、层次化梳理,为实现排水权的合理分配与防洪决策的进一步优化提供有效依据,对于保障防洪安全、实现社会公平与区域均衡发展具有重要的支撑作用。     

Small Area Estimation for Disease Prevalence Mapping

Small area estimation (SAE) entails estimating characteristics of interest for domains, often geographical areas, in which there may be few or no samples available. SAE has a long history and a wide variety of methods have been suggested, from a bewildering range of philosophical standpoints. We describe design-based and model-based approaches and models that are specified at the area level and at the unit level, focusing on health applications and fully Bayesian spatial models. The use of auxiliary information is a key ingredient for successful inference when response data are sparse, and we discuss a number of approaches that allow the inclusion of covariate data. SAE for HIV prevalence, using data collected from a Demographic Health Survey in Malawi in 2015–2016, is used to illustrate a number of techniques. The potential use of SAE techniques for outcomes related to coronavirus disease 2019 is discussed.     

Worktime control and work stress: the moderating effect of self-comparisons and social comparisons

Abstract

Perceived work-related stress has increased notably in recent years, reducing individuals’ well-being and increasing organizations’ and economies’ costs. This study focuses on worktime control as a key approach to reducing work stress, as the extant research on its effects reports inconsistent results. The study argues that comparisons play a major role in how work stress, conceptualized as effort-reward imbalance, occurs. Ordinary least squares is used to test hypotheses with a sample of 1721 employees from Germany to determine whether employees’ prior worktime control and employees’ referents’ worktime control affect the relationship between worktime control and work stress. Results show that (1) worktime control is negatively associated with the experience of work stress, (2) employees’ prior worktime control moderates the relationship between worktime control and work stress, and (3) there is no moderating effect of employees’ referents’ worktime control. The results are discussed in light of gift-exchange theory and related empirical findings.     

Market drivers of sustainability and sustainability learning capabilities: The moderating role of sustainability control systems

This study examines (i) the impact of market drivers of sustainability on the adoption of sustainability learning capabilities and (ii) the moderating role of sustainability control systems (SCS) on the relationship between market drivers of sustainability and sustainability learning capabilities. Drawing on the levers of control framework, stakeholder theory and organisational learning literature, survey data were collected from 175 large scale local and multinational companies operating in Sri Lanka. Findings reveal that market drivers of sustainability have a significant positive impact on sustainability learning capabilities. Whereas the interactive use of SCS shows a positive moderating impact, the diagnostic use of SCS shows a negative impact. The study enhances our understanding of (i) the influence of market drivers of sustainability on the adoption of sustainability learning capabilities and (ii) the use of SCS in enabling sustainability learning capabilities. The study reveals novel insights for managers responding to changing market drivers of sustainability, on how to (re)align different uses of SCS to enable sustainability learning capabilities.     

基于粒子群算法下的交叉口信号配时优化

为了合理地优化交叉口信号配时,通过分析交叉口的评价指标,建立了以车辆的平均延误、停车次数最小、交叉口整体通行能力最大、各相位有效绿灯时间和交叉口周期时长作为约束条件的数学模型。并通过改进前人研究基础上的动态加权系数,将多目标的非线性优化问题转化为单一目标的非线性规划问题,为了得出更科学稳定的解,提出了改善粒子群算法系统稳定性的2种方法,并将其与粒子群算法结合起来。然后以Matlab为求解工具,结合临邑市某一交叉口实例进行求解分析。最后的结果表明,在使用改进后的粒子群算法进行优化后交叉口通行能力较之现状提升了9%,延误下降了28%,停车次数下降了9%,且各项优化结果均优于Webster,改进后的算法在程序中运行300代,到216代才开始收敛,而未改进的算法稳定性较差,优化结果和收敛曲线则随着实验次数的变化而变化,最后的结论证明了该算法和模型的可靠性。     

Political risk in private participation projects: The effects of political discretionality and corruption

This article investigates the impact of political risk on the performance of private participation infrastructure projects in emerging markets. Previous studies have shown that firms in regulated sectors are prone to employ political capabilities in their investments overseas. Our analysis of 32,257 projects in 114 emerging countries from 1997 to 2013 shows that higher political discretionality in the host country is negatively associated with project completion. In contrast, a higher level of corruption in the host country is positively associated with project completion. The study makes a contribution to the literature on political risk in foreign direct investments.     

京津冀城市群能源代谢时空特征及优化调控研究

随着中国经济的快速发展,能源消费也快速增长。随着节能减排的压力越来越大,能源的代谢需要根据需求进行更替。论文就京津冀城市群能源代谢时空特征分析并对能量代谢进行优化和调控提出建议。     

混凝土箱梁质量通病治理和施工质量控制策略

所谓混凝土箱梁质量通病的治理,简单来讲就是工程在施工期间会普遍存在并且反复出现一些施工问题,所以需要采取相关措施解决其中存在的质量通病和具体问题,并且对箱梁进行施工质量控制。为此,论文从多个角度分析了混凝土箱梁的质量通病,提出相应的施工质量控制策略,希望为相关从业者提供参考性的建议。     

财务公司的风险管理与内部控制

财务公司是一类特殊的金融机构,既有风险内生性特点,也易受外部风险传导。在风险管理与内部控制上,要坚持业务发展与内部控制相平衡的原则,一方面要遵循普适性、规律性的银行业规则(巴塞尔协议),另一方面也要充分考虑所属集团的具体实际情况,服务于集团和财务公司战略目标的实现。     

内部控制、僵尸企业与审计特征

以2010—2017年深沪两市全部A股上市公司为研究样本，分析僵尸企业的审计特征并探讨内部控制对两者关系的调节效应。研究发现：相比于非僵尸企业，僵尸企业具有倾向于支付更低的审计费用、更有可能收到非标意见和更有可能选择非高质量审计师进行审计的特征，同时，僵尸企业内部控制环境更差。进一步研究发现，更高的内部控制质量使得僵尸企业更有可能收到标准无保留的审计意见，但非僵尸企业审计收费更高且更有可能选择高质量审计师。基于产权性质的进一步研究发现：（1）国有僵尸企业支付更低的审计费用，且中央国企支付的审计费用更低；（2）民营僵尸企业更有可能收到非标审计意见；（3）民营僵尸企业和地方国有僵尸企业更有可能选择非高质量审计师进行审计，且地方国有僵尸企业倾向性更强。从公司治理角度研究僵尸企业的审计特征，为识别僵尸企业提供了经验证据。